Public Predictions [921300df]
| Forecase Date | Eval Date | Statement | Forecast Probabiltiy | Eval Result | Failure Reason? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/10/23 | 31/11/23 | I will be B2+/C1- in Spanish | 90% | True | |
| 9/10/23 | 14/12/23 | I will have learned basic snowboarding | 80% | False | Didn't work out! |
| 9/10/23 | 01/02/24 | I will have figured out a topic for UdelaR | 75% | False | Pivoted to new job |
| 06/06/24 | 01/09/24 | I will have settled into my job at Meta | 80% | True | |
| 06/06/24 | 01/10/24 | I will have figured out an approach to the code ownership political problem on chatd | 50% | True | |
| 13/10/24 | 01/02/24 | I will have gotten my shit together and be running on all cylindars | 80% | True | |
| 13/10/24 | 01/02/24 | I will be able to hold a conversation in Guarani | 50% | False | Deprecated in favor of russian |
| 16/02/24 | 01/05/24 | I will be able to back on mathematics | 50% | False | Did not do :( |
| 16/02/24 | 01/05/24 | I will have learned D3 and Ratatui and gotten better at UI tooling | 80% | True | |
| 16/02/24 | 01/05/24 | I will be able to hold a conversation in Russian | 30% | False | Did not do :( |
| 13/01/26 | 01/05/26 | I will have B1 fluency in Portugese | 50% | ||
| 13/01/26 | 01/05/26 | I will be able to play the Qanoon at some decent level | 50% | False | Cancelled for otehr priorities per Jan 18th |
| 15/01/26 | 09/04/26 | I will be able to squat 3 wheels | 80% | ||
| 15/01/26 | 01/12/26 | I will be able to clean 2 wheels | 50% |