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correlation != causation [2eea77cf]

Tags: probability

  • At large scales, everything is correlated

  • Interrcorrelation implies causal networks

    • A correlates to B, B correlates to A, or A correlates to C + C correlates to B

      • This is most often wrong, since it's actually:

        • A correlates to B
        • B correlates to A
        • A correlates to C1, B correlates to C1
        • A correlatees to C2, B correlates to C2, etc
    • Relationships are directly casual, or they can flow through a huge number of causal chains