trial/error vs theory/insight in work/academia

https://commoncog.com/blog/chinese-businessmen-let-reality-be-the-teacher/
fractals of trial/error theory/insight paradigm
programming is trial/error as a skill, but theory/insight as a worker
- That is, that trial & error is a superior strategy when i) you have randomness and ii) when you have convexity: that is, for any given decision you make, your positive outcomes outweigh your negative outcomes.
- feedback loop is instantanous
- take a hit and leave the game?
  - resiliance to failure is low
school is theory/insight as a worker, but trial/error as a skill
- feedback loop is slow and possibly non-existant
  - i.e. how do you test out theories of history? of nationalism?
  - monographs based on a collection of ideas
- take a hit and remain in the game
  - resiliance to failure is high